Mark Anderson’s 2009 Predictions – TAG NW 16 January 2009

At noon today I attended the monthly TAG talk which featured Mark Anderson - of Strategic News Service fame.  It was a very well attended event, which I attempted to Twitter live.  In addition to Mark's 10 predictions for 2009 he talked a bit about the importance of education in global competitiveness and challenged the crowd to come up with a local solution.  Namely what he coins 'one to one' computing, delivered at the pace individual students learn at, by instructors who know how.  The cost is $1450 (USD) per student - per his calculations.  I, for one, think we as a nation invest far too little in our education system and need to change the system to accommodate these types of scenarios. 

Mark Anderson's 2009 Technology Predictions

  1. The internet assistant will emerge - delivered via voice (phone)
  2. Voice recognition will finally arrive
  3. Broadband will reach into rural areas
  4. The 4G technology winner will be LTE [long term evolution]
  5. The netbook (carry along) will be the most popular platform
  6. Wall computing will emerge (surface + multi-touch + large scale)
  7. Diskless PC's  will expand [SSD] usable life of devices will increase
  8. China GDP will be about 6%, which will result in political trouble (unrest)
  9. [Smart] Phone usage will explode
  10. More focus on in-home gaming (spurred by adoption of large, high-definition displays and low cost)

The real value in attending a live talk, as opposed to reading this same list in an article, are the additional bits Mark provided. 

Here are four of Mark's observations

  1. In about three weeks there will be a psychological rebound for those in the US triggered by the change or administration and the resulting change in media focus. I hope he's right!
  2. Banks cannot be trusted and must be supervised - contrary to the 'regulators' placed by the outgoing administration and evidenced by the ongoing global bank decline.
  3. The run up in oil prices was due to intentional options manipulation by big oil resellers and not by demand or OPEC actions. 
  4. The current global economic crises was due to too much liquidity in the global economy - and the resulting reckless behavior of financial leaders in private and government roles.

Bonus Prediction

Finally, Mark predicts that social networking may go away, though not necessarily in 2009, as it will become just 'what we do.'  He contends that people, young people in particular, are becoming tired of advertising inside their social networks and some have essentially revolted by leaving large social networks with little value [Facebook] and joining more specialized and targeted social networks that are not appealing to advertisers.  Thereby, essentially removing advertising from their social networks.

-Paul

0 comment(s) for “Mark Anderson’s 2009 Predictions – TAG NW 16 January 2009”